UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
80%
Allen
20%
Rinaldi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
JR
Jordan Rinaldi
"All Day"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

Allen is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Allen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Allen
Rinaldi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
32+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Rinaldi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
15.3
52.8
Performance Avg
39.7
35
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
43
Allen
Rinaldi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
5
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Allen
Rinaldi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Rinaldi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/21 fights
Allen
Rinaldi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Allen
Rinaldi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Rinaldi
Striking3.3 / 0.8Volume6.9 / 4.8Grappling2.9 / 5.2Wrestling2.0 / 3.6Submission1.7 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Allen
Strike Zones
Rinaldi
Allen
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY5LEGS10 absorbed
Rinaldi
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY5LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (62% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Rinaldi targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Rinaldi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Rinaldi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W6.9L2016-052017-082018-012018-112019-03
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Rinaldi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Arnold Allen · Jordan Rinaldi
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