UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Tuivasa
51%
Spivac
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:14
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Serghei
Serghei Spivac
"Polar Bear"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Spivac

This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 49% vs Spivac at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spivac has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tuivasa
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
33
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
45.1
50.4
Performance Avg
52.0
54
Quality of Victory
47
20
Momentum Score
33
Tuivasa
Spivac
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
3Clinch1
0Ground9
Tuivasa
Spivac
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tuivasa
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Tuivasa
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
33
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Tuivasa
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Spivac
Striking9.6 / 4.5Volume1.9 / 3.9Grappling0.3 / 3.5Wrestling0.2 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Spivac
Tuivasa
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Spivac
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Spivac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Spivac · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L5.7W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W3.9L5.0W5.4W6.2W3.9L5.4W3.3L7.0L5.5W2019-052021-022022-082025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Spivac · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Serghei Spivac
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