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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Tuivasa
51%
Spivac
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:14
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Serghei
Serghei Spivac
"Polar Bear"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Serghei SpivacwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:14
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spivac
→
Actual result
Spivac wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 49% vs Spivac at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaSpivac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
33
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
44.1
50.4
Performance Avg
50.5
54
Quality of Victory
47
20
Momentum Score
33
Tuivasa
Spivac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
1.9
Style: Volume
3.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
3Clinch1
0Ground9
Tuivasa
Spivac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Tuivasa
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
33
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Tuivasa
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Spivac
Striking9.6 / 4.5Volume1.9 / 3.8Grappling0.3 / 3.5Wrestling0.2 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.5 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Spivac
Tuivasa
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Spivac
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Spivac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0

Tuivasa · Last 5

Upcoming
Robelis Despaigne
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Louie Sutherland
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison Teixeira
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin Tybura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Spivac · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vitor Petrino
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante Delija
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton Almeida
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin Tybura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Serghei Spivac
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