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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Welterweight
VS
49%
Sobotta
51%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:29
PS
Peter Sobotta
177
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
2213
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Peter SobottawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:29
def. Ben Saunders · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saunders
Actual result
Sobotta wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sobotta at 49% vs Saunders at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Sobotta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SobottaSaunders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sobotta
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
39+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sobotta
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
15.6
39.8
Performance Avg
46.4
40
Quality of Victory
46
50
Momentum Score
50
Sobotta
Saunders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
6.1
4.8
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sobotta
Saunders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobotta
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Sobotta
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Sobotta
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sobotta
Saunders
Striking3.3 / 4.3Volume4.8 / 3.6Grappling3.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.2 / 2.4Submission2.5 / 3.3Pressure4.7 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Sobotta
Strike Zones
Saunders
Sobotta
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Saunders
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sobotta targets the head (89% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sobotta
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex Oliveira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon Edwards
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben Saunders
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas Dalby
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle Noke
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt Brown
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi Sato
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman Good
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio Moraes
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake Ellenberger
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Peter Sobotta · Ben Saunders
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