UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Welterweight
VS
49%
Sobotta
51%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:29
PS
Peter Sobotta
17 – 7
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Saunders

This is a genuine toss-up — Sobotta at 49% vs Saunders at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sobotta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sobotta
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
39+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sobotta
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
15.6
39.8
Performance Avg
46.4
40
Quality of Victory
46
50
Momentum Score
50
Sobotta
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sobotta
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobotta
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Sobotta
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Sobotta
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sobotta
Saunders
Striking3.3 / 4.3Volume4.8 / 3.6Grappling3.2 / 3.5Wrestling2.2 / 2.4Submission2.5 / 3.3Pressure4.7 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Sobotta
Strike Zones
Saunders
Sobotta
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Saunders
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sobotta targets the head (89% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sobotta
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Sobotta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.8W5.2W5.1L5.5L2009-062014-052016-092020-07
WinLossTrend

Saunders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.7W2.8L2.8L5.0W2.8L1.5L2.9L3.1L2007-122010-032016-012018-092019-12
WinLossTrend

Sobotta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Peter Sobotta · Ben Saunders
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