METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Lightweight
VS
40%
Moises
60%
Costa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Thiago MoiseswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:05
def. Melquizael Costa · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Costa
→
Actual result
Moises wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Costa holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Moises has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Costa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoisesCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moises
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moises
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
59.4
42.7
Performance Avg
53.2
38
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
84
Moises
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.1
5.0
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
2
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance7
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Moises
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moises
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Moises
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Moises
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moises
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MoisesCosta
Strike Zones
Moises
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCosta
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (85% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moises
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Costa · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Dan IgeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Morgan CharriereKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03