UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Welterweight
VS
71%
Muhammad
29%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
DL
Dhiego Lima
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Muhammad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lima has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Muhammad
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Muhammad
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
23.4
48.5
Performance Avg
34.8
31
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
91
Muhammad
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
9
5
Body
11
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
41Distance25
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Muhammad
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Muhammad
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Muhammad
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muhammad
Lima
Striking2.8 / 3.2Volume7.9 / 6.7Grappling2.5 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Muhammad
Strike Zones
Lima
Muhammad
Attacking
44HEAD5BODY0LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
9HEAD11BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
44HEAD5BODY0LEGS49 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (90% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the body (44% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Muhammad
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L4.5W1.6L2.3L2.8L5.5L5.0W4.7W4.5W6.6L3.1L2014-072015-052018-122021-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Lima · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12

News & Media

Belal Muhammad · Dhiego Lima
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