UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
67%
Aldana
33%
Correia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldana
Aldana holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Aldana throws more volume but Correia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldana
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
64"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldana
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
25.0
46.5
Performance Avg
36.8
39
Quality of Victory
31
81
Momentum Score
88
Aldana
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
16
4
Body
1
1
Leg
9
RangeRange
31Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldana
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldana
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Aldana
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
88
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Aldana
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldana
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
AldanaCorreia
Strike Zones
Aldana
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldana targets the head (84% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (62% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldana
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
Aldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Aldana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
