METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
21%
Carmouche
79%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Liz CarmouchewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Murphy · UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Carmouche wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Murphy is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarmoucheMurphy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carmouche
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carmouche
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
51.7
38.6
Performance Avg
41.9
31
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
87
Carmouche
Murphy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
4.2
7.4
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
0
2
Leg
14
RangeRange
2Distance4
2Clinch11
0Ground5
Carmouche
Murphy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carmouche
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Carmouche
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Carmouche
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carmouche
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
CarmoucheMurphy
Strike Zones
Carmouche
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carmouche targets the head (50% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carmouche
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
Carmouche · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraDecision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06