★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Welterweight
VS
52%
St-Pierre
48%
Condit
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
GS
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
26 – 2
5'11"76" reachOrthodox45 yrs13-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 25
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
32 – 14
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: St-Pierre

This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 52% vs Condit at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Condit throws more volume but St-Pierre connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

St-Pierre
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
22.3
67.2
Performance Avg
47.8
51
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
20
St-Pierre
Condit
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
4
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch0
14Ground0
St-Pierre
Condit
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
St-Pierre
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
St-Pierre
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
44%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

St-Pierre
Condit
Striking4.3 / 5.4Volume6.6 / 4.5Grappling2.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.9 / 0.8Submission1.5 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
St-Pierre
Strike Zones
Condit
St-Pierre
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Condit
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (71% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the head (67% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

St-Pierre
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

St-Pierre · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.1W1.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2004-012006-032008-082012-112017-11
WinLossTrend

Condit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.4W2.8L4.1W5.8L1.5L6.1L2.8L3.5L4.7W4.9W6.1L2009-042012-022015-052018-122021-07
WinLossTrend

St-Pierre · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Georges St-Pierre · Carlos Condit
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