METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Flyweight
VS
41%
Holohan
59%
Smolka
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:09
def. Paddy Holohan · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
→
Actual result
Smolka wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holohan at 41% vs Smolka at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolohanSmolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holohan
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holohan
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
26.6
44.8
Performance Avg
46.5
35
Quality of Victory
46
74
Momentum Score
60
Holohan
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
6.7
6.5
Style: Volume
2.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
36
2
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground35
Holohan
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holohan
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
12
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Holohan
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
60
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Holohan
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holohan
Smolka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HolohanSmolka
Strike Zones
Holohan
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedSmolka
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holohan targets the head (40% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (90% of attacks) — Holohan absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holohan
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
Holohan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Louis SmolkaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Vince MoralesKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Jose QuinonezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey KenneySubmission
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W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldKO/TKO
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