UFC: Silva vs Irvin
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jul 2008
Lightweight
VS
50%
Gugerty
50%
Hartt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gugerty
This is a genuine toss-up — Gugerty at 50% vs Hartt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hartt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gugerty's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gugerty
Hartt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
69"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gugerty
Hartt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
19.1
48.4
Performance Avg
46.3
54
Quality of Victory
55
52
Momentum Score
52
Gugerty
Hartt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.6
30%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Gugerty
Hartt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gugerty
Hartt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Gugerty
Hartt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Gugerty
Hartt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gugerty
Hartt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GugertyHartt
Strike Zones
Gugerty
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHartt
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gugerty targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hartt absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hartt targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gugerty absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gugerty
RND
Hartt
0/0R00/0
Gugerty · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Hartt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Gugerty · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Matt GriceRating 5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · Sub · R3
Spencer FisherRating 4Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Sub · R1
Dale HarttRating 5Submission
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
Hartt · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Dennis SiverRating 1.5Submission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · KO · R2
Corey HillRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5Submission
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07