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UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Middleweight
VS
24%
Munoz
76%
Weidman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:37
MM
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
146
6'0"71" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Chris
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
168
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Chris WeidmanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:37
def. Mark Munoz · UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weidman
Actual result
Weidman wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Weidman is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Munoz throws more volume but Weidman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MunozWeidman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Munoz
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munoz
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
51.1
48.3
Performance Avg
57.0
41
Quality of Victory
55
55
Momentum Score
51
Munoz
Weidman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
15
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Munoz
Weidman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munoz
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Munoz
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
51
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Munoz
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munoz
Weidman
Striking5.6 / 4.5Volume5.6 / 4.5Grappling1.3 / 3.0Wrestling0.9 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.9 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Munoz
Strike Zones
Weidman
Munoz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Weidman
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Munoz
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Munoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W2.9L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W2009-032010-082011-112014-052015-05
WinLossTrend

Weidman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.0W3.4L4.0L2.8L5.6W4.0L2.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.8W3.5L2011-032013-072016-112020-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Munoz · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Mark Munoz · Chris Weidman
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