UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Preux
56%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 44% vs Hill at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Preux
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
79"
43
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Preux
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
60.4
50.2
Performance Avg
54.2
48
Quality of Victory
50
72
Momentum Score
92
Preux
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
32
6
Body
8
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance35
1Clinch6
0Ground0
Preux
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Preux
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Preux
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
92
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Preux
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
PreuxHill
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedHill
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the body (40% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (78% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
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L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
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W · KO · R4
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