UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
95%
Petrino
5%
Turkalj
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petrino
Petrino is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Petrino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turkalj has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petrino
Turkalj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
28+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Turkalj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
3.0
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Petrino
Turkalj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
11
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch1
1Ground5
Petrino
Turkalj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Turkalj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Petrino
Turkalj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Petrino
Turkalj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Turkalj
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PetrinoTurkalj
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTurkalj
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (60% of attacks) — Turkalj absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Turkalj targets the head (85% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Turkalj
0/0R00/0
Petrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Turkalj · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9Decision
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W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Turkalj · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Ibo AslanRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
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