METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Lightweight
VS
91%
Hubbard
9%
Bush
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Austin HubbardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dakota Bush · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hubbard
→
Actual result
Hubbard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hubbard is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Hubbard's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HubbardBush
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hubbard
Bush
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hubbard
Bush
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
3.3
28.7
Performance Avg
0.0
26
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Hubbard
Bush
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Hubbard
Bush
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hubbard
Bush
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Hubbard
Bush
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hubbard
Bush
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hubbard
Bush
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HubbardBush
Strike Zones
Hubbard
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBush
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hubbard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Bush absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Bush targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hubbard
RND
Bush
0/0R00/0
Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal FiglakDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Bush · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04