UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Middleweight
VS
37%
Larkin
63%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LL
Lorenz Larkin
"The Monsoon"
18 – 6
5'11"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 21
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Larkin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Larkin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Larkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Larkin
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Larkin
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
35.6
47.0
Performance Avg
40.1
45
Quality of Victory
29
92
Momentum Score
49
Larkin
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
1
Body
0
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance13
18Clinch1
0Ground0
Larkin
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Larkin
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
29/34 fights
Larkin
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
49
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Larkin
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
13%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Larkin
Tavares
Striking7.0 / 2.4Volume4.2 / 8.1Grappling1.0 / 2.1Wrestling0.7 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Larkin
Strike Zones
Tavares
Larkin
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Larkin targets the head (91% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (64% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Larkin
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0

Larkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L5.8L5.0W5.8W5.5L4.5W5.6W2013-042014-052015-062016-08
WinLossTrend

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Larkin · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Tavares · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Lorenz Larkin · Brad Tavares
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