UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
66%
Tulio
34%
Potieria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:04
Marco
Marco Tulio
"Matuto"
14 – 3
6'0"74" reachOrthodox31 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 62
Ihor
Ihor Potieria
"Duelist"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'3"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tulio

Tulio holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Potieria has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tulio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Tulio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Potieria has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tulio
Potieria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tulio
Potieria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.8
32.5
54.5
Performance Avg
35.5
58
Quality of Victory
43
65
Momentum Score
26
Tulio
Potieria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
2.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
5
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance6
1Clinch0
11Ground0
Tulio
Potieria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tulio
Potieria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Tulio
Potieria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Tulio
Potieria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tulio
Potieria
Striking10.0 / 5.5Volume1.0 / 4.5Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Tulio
Strike Zones
Potieria
Tulio
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Potieria
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tulio targets the head (69% of attacks) — Potieria absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Potieria targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tulio
RND
Potieria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tulio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.4W4.2L6.5L2025-012025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Potieria · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0102.8L5.0W3.4L4.5L5.4W2.1L6.6L2.8L2022-072023-052024-022024-102025-01
WinLossTrend

Tulio · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Tresean GoreRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

Potieria · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marco TulioRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Michel PereiraRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert BryczekRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Rodolfo BellatoRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Marco Tulio · Ihor Potieria
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