Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Houston, USA

21 Feb 2026

Middleweight

51%

Strickland

49%

Hernandez

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:23

Sean Strickland

31 – 7

6'1"76" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 58

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"

15 – 3

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"

CFR 56

★ Official Result

Sean StricklandwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:23

def. Anthony Hernandez · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Strickland

→

Actual result

Strickland wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 51% vs Hernandez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StricklandHernandez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Strickland

Hernandez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

6'0"

76"+

Reach

75"

Age

+32

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Strickland

Hernandez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

57.7

55.8

50.9

Performance Avg

53.9

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Strickland

Hernandez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.2

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

7.5

6.8

Style: Volume

3.2

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

32Distance9

2Clinch0

7Ground0

Strickland

Hernandez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

5.0

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.5

0.6

Submission Style (/10)

5.6

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strickland

Hernandez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

9 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

25/38 fights

Chin rating based on

13/18 fights

Strickland

Hernandez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R3

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R5

Strickland

Hernandez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

78%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Strickland

Hernandez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.0

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.5

0.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.6

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.5

6.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.2

Strickland

Strike Zones

Hernandez

Strickland

Attacking

41 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Hernandez

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

41 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Strickland targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 95% of strikes there

🎯Hernandez targets the head (56% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Strickland

RND

Hernandez

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R3

Anthony Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R5

Paulo Costa

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Gregory Rodrigues

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

L · KO · R3

Sean Strickland

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

W · Sub · R4

Roman Dolidze

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Brendan Allen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

W · KO · R5

Michel Pereira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Sean Strickland · Anthony Hernandez

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