UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Flyweight
VS
70%
Royval
30%
Bontorin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Royval
Royval is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Royval has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Royval throws more volume but Bontorin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Royval's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Royval
Bontorin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
67"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Royval
Bontorin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
21.1
48.2
Performance Avg
32.5
42
Quality of Victory
28
62
Momentum Score
59
Royval
Bontorin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
7
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Royval
Bontorin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Royval
Bontorin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Royval
Bontorin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
62
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
Royval
Bontorin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Royval
Bontorin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
RoyvalBontorin
Strike Zones
Royval
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBontorin
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Royval targets the head (58% of attacks) — Bontorin absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Bontorin targets the head (56% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Royval
RND
Bontorin
0/0R00/0
Royval · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Bontorin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Royval · Last 5
Upcoming
Lone'er KavanaghUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Bontorin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Upcoming
Matt SchnellUFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R1
Raulian PaivaRating 4UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08