UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
92%
Luciano
8%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Luciano
Luciano is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luciano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Striking split: Luciano throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Luciano
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
26+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luciano
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.7
5.1
55.9
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Luciano
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
31%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Luciano
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luciano
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Luciano
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luciano
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luciano
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LucianoOliveira
Strike Zones
Luciano
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luciano targets the head (56% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Luciano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luciano
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Luciano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Luciano · Last 3
W · Sub · R3
Ravena OliveiraRating 5.5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 6.2Decision
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Oliveira · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Shanelle DyerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
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Stephanie LucianoRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Tainara LisboaRating 5.9Decision
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