METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
94%
Luciano
6%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:50
★ Official Result
Stephanie LucianowinsSubmissionR3 · 2:50
def. Ravena Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luciano
→
Actual result
Luciano wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Luciano is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luciano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LucianoOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luciano
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
26+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luciano
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.6
4.2
59.8
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
96
Momentum Score
0
Luciano
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.2
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Luciano
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luciano
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Luciano
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luciano
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luciano
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LucianoOliveira
Strike Zones
Luciano
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luciano targets the head (56% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Luciano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luciano
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Luciano · Last 4
W · Sub · R1
Marina SpasicSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R3
Ravena OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Juliana MillerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Shanelle DyerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R3
Stephanie LucianoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Tainara LisboaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10