METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
63%
Masvidal
37%
Larkin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lorenz LarkinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Larkin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Larkin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MasvidalLarkin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Masvidal
Larkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Masvidal
Larkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
20.5
47.0
Performance Avg
47.0
42
Quality of Victory
45
43
Momentum Score
92
Masvidal
Larkin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.4
Style: Volume
4.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
2
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance11
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Masvidal
Larkin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Masvidal
Larkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Masvidal
Larkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
92
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Masvidal
Larkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Larkin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MasvidalLarkin
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLarkin
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (71% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Larkin targets the head (77% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Larkin
0/0R00/0
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Larkin · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01