UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Bantamweight
VS
25%
Almeida
75%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garbrandt
Garbrandt is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Almeida
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
65"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
56.6
50.6
Performance Avg
51.6
51
Quality of Victory
47
59
Momentum Score
97
Almeida
Garbrandt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Almeida
Garbrandt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Almeida
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Almeida
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
AlmeidaGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (90% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (86% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12