METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Lightweight
VS
54%
McKinney
46%
Ribovics
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:37
★ Official Result
Esteban RibovicswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:37
def. Terrance McKinney · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
→
Actual result
Ribovics wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McKinney at 54% vs Ribovics at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
McKinney's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McKinneyRibovics
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McKinney
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.9
54.3
57.5
Performance Avg
47.8
58
Quality of Victory
38
98
Momentum Score
74
McKinney
Ribovics
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
8.7
Style: Pressure
4.7
1.1
Style: Volume
6.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
2Clinch1
0Ground0
McKinney
Ribovics
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McKinney
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
McKinney
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
74
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McKinney
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKinney
Ribovics
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
McKinneyRibovics
Strike Zones
McKinney
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRibovics
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (60% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKinney
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McKinney · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Ribovics · Last 5
Upcoming
King GreenUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03