METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
69%
Brown
31%
Graves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:31
★ Official Result
Michael GraveswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:31
def. Randy Brown · UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Graves wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Graves has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownGraves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Graves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Graves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
24.3
48.7
Performance Avg
62.3
39
Quality of Victory
37
92
Momentum Score
100
Brown
Graves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Brown
Graves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Graves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Brown
Graves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Graves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Graves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BrownGraves
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGraves
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (100% of attacks) — Graves absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Graves targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Graves
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Graves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Graves · Last 3
Upcoming
Bojan VelickovicDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Randy BrownRating 6.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07