UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
69%
Brown
31%
Graves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:31
Randy
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20 – 8
6'3"78" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
MG
Michael Graves
6 – 0
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brown

Brown holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Graves has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown
Graves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Graves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
24.3
48.7
Performance Avg
62.3
39
Quality of Victory
37
92
Momentum Score
100
Brown
Graves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Brown
Graves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Graves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Brown
Graves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Graves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Graves
Striking4.1 / 2.0Volume5.3 / 6.0Grappling2.9 / 5.2Wrestling2.0 / 3.6Submission2.1 / 5.0Pressure5.4 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Brown
Strike Zones
Graves
Brown
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Graves
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (100% of attacks) — Graves absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Graves targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Graves
0/0R00/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W6.6L5.0W3.4L5.9W5.5W4.2L5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W3.0L4.5W6.0W5.0W7.3L5.6W3.8L6.1L2016-012018-072022-052024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Graves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.0W6.1W2015-072016-04
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Graves · Last 3

Upcoming
Bojan Velickovic
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Randy BrownRating 6.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07

News & Media

Randy Brown · Michael Graves
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