UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Catch Weight
VS
93%
Giagos
7%
Minus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Giagos
Giagos is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Giagos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Minus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Giagos's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Giagos
Minus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Giagos
Minus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
2.7
41.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Giagos
Minus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
15
1
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Giagos
Minus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Giagos
Minus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Giagos
Minus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Giagos
Minus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Giagos
Minus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GiagosMinus
Strike Zones
Giagos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMinus
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Giagos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Minus absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Minus targets the head (79% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Giagos
RND
Minus
0/0R00/0
Giagos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Minus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Giagos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
Minus · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
