UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Middleweight
VS
79%
Vieira
21%
Piechota
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
Vieira is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Piechota throws more volume but Vieira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Piechota has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
Piechota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vieira
Piechota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
16.6
49.5
Performance Avg
41.5
46
Quality of Victory
43
91
Momentum Score
63
Vieira
Piechota
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Vieira
Piechota
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vieira
Piechota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Vieira
Piechota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Vieira
Piechota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Piechota
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
VieiraPiechota
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPiechota
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (88% of attacks) — Piechota absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Piechota targets the head (75% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Piechota
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Piechota · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Piechota · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Sub · R2
Rodolfo VieiraRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Tim WilliamsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02