UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
62%
Kang
38%
Gafurov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kang
Kang holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Gafurov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Kang throws more volume but Gafurov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Kang
Gafurov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
38
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kang
Gafurov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
32.5
47.6
Performance Avg
31.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
96
Momentum Score
35
Kang
Gafurov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Kang
Gafurov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kang
Gafurov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Kang
Gafurov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Kang
Gafurov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kang
Gafurov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
KangGafurov
Strike Zones
Kang
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGafurov
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gafurov targets the head (80% of attacks) — Kang absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kang
RND
Gafurov
0/0R00/0
Kang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gafurov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Kang · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Cristian QuinonezRating 5.8Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Gafurov · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Jakub WiklaczRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 6.2Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R1
Said NurmagomedovRating 2.9Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3Decision
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