METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 70: Nations Collide
Manchester, United Kingdom
21 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
64%
Etim
36%
Grice
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Terry EtimwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:48
def. Matt Grice · UFC 70: Nations Collide
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Etim
→
Actual result
Etim wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Etim holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Grice has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Etim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EtimGrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Etim
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
10.6
50.5
Performance Avg
26.4
48
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
55
Etim
Grice
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.9
2.4
Style: Volume
8.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
2
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground26
Etim
Grice
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Etim
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Etim
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Etim
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Etim
Grice
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
EtimGrice
Strike Zones
Etim
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedGrice
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the head (40% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (77% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Etim
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoSubmission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertySubmission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Grice · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaDecision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertySubmission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02