METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 70: Nations Collide
Manchester, United Kingdom
21 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
64%
Etim
36%
Grice
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Terry EtimwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:48
def. Matt Grice · UFC 70: Nations Collide
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Etim
→
Actual result
Etim wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Etim holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Grice has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Etim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Grice has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EtimGrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Etim
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
10.6
50.5
Performance Avg
26.4
48
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
55
Etim
Grice
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
2.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
2
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground26
Etim
Grice
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Etim
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Etim
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Etim
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Etim
Grice
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
EtimGrice
Strike Zones
Etim
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedGrice
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the head (40% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (77% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Etim
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
Etim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Grice · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Grice · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02