UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
63%
Moras
37%
Bernardo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moras
Moras holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Bernardo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Moras throws more volume but Bernardo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bernardo has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moras
Bernardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+68"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Bernardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
9.1
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
28
Moras
Bernardo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
35%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch0
6Ground3
Moras
Bernardo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moras
Bernardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Moras
Bernardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Moras
Bernardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Bernardo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MorasBernardo
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBernardo
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bernardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bernardo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Bernardo
0/0R00/0
Moras · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Bernardo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Moras · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Bernardo · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09