UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Las Vegas, USA
20 Nov 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
Pinheiro
58%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hughes
This is a genuine toss-up — Pinheiro at 42% vs Hughes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pinheiro's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pinheiro
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+64"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinheiro
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
49.8
33.1
Performance Avg
40.0
27
Quality of Victory
33
49
Momentum Score
76
Pinheiro
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
11
8
Body
2
3
Leg
10
RangeRange
25Distance20
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Pinheiro
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pinheiro
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Pinheiro
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pinheiro
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinheiro
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PinheiroHughes
Strike Zones
Pinheiro
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedHughes
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinheiro targets the head (58% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (48% of attacks) — Pinheiro absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinheiro
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pinheiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Pinheiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
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