METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
43%
Thiago
57%
Thatch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Brandon ThatchwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:10
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thatch
→
Actual result
Thatch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thiago at 43% vs Thatch at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoThatch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thiago
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Thiago
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
17.8
37.5
Performance Avg
49.3
37
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
33
Thiago
Thatch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
4Clinch3
0Ground2
Thiago
Thatch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thiago
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
52
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Thiago
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Thiago
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Thatch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
ThiagoThatch
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedThatch
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (80% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (58% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresDecision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimDecision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaSubmission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11