METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
43%
Thiago
57%
Thatch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Brandon ThatchwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:10
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thatch
→
Actual result
Thatch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thiago at 43% vs Thatch at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thatch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Thatch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thatch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoThatch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thiago
Thatch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Thiago
Thatch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
17.8
37.5
Performance Avg
49.3
37
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
33
Thiago
Thatch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
4Clinch3
0Ground2
Thiago
Thatch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thiago
Thatch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
52
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Thiago
Thatch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
W · KO · R1
Thiago
Thatch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Thatch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
ThiagoThatch
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedThatch
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (80% of attacks) — Thatch absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Thatch targets the head (58% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Thatch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Thatch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
Thatch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2Submission
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R4
Benson HendersonRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Paulo ThiagoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11