METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
Indianapolis, USA
25 Sept 2010
Lightweight
VS
28%
Guillard
72%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
5'9"71" reachOrthodox43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
Jeremy
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29 – 23
Well-Rounded7-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Stephens is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GuillardStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
45.0
49.7
Performance Avg
41.1
45
Quality of Victory
40
73
Momentum Score
76
Guillard
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
3.8
Style: Volume
4.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
7
Body
6
1
Leg
12
RangeRange
24Distance26
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Guillard
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guillard
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Guillard
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
76
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Guillard
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
47%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guillard
Stephens
Striking7.0 / 5.5Volume3.8 / 4.6Grappling0.8 / 1.1Wrestling0.6 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Guillard
Strike Zones
Stephens
Guillard
Attacking
17HEAD7BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY12LEGS26 absorbed
Stephens
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY12LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD7BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (68% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guillard
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac Danzig
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie Varner
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald Cerrone
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
King Green
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason Jones
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz Gamrot
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin Kattar
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

News & Media

Melvin Guillard · Jeremy Stephens
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours