UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Flyweight
VS
44%
Schnell
56%
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — Schnell at 44% vs at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
47.6
40.7
Performance Avg
42.5
37
Quality of Victory
31
45
Momentum Score
75
Schnell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
32
4
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance22
9Clinch13
17Ground4
Schnell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schnell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Schnell
Strike Zones
Schnell
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedAttacking
39 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (82% of attacks) — absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (82% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schnell
RND
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Schnell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Schnell · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Sub · R1
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Jimmy FlickRating 5Decision
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L · Sub · R2
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L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3KO/TKO
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· Last 5
Upcoming
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
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