UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Blaydes
43%
Kuniev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 57% vs Kuniev at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blaydes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Blaydes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blaydes
Kuniev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Kuniev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
40.5
53.4
Performance Avg
35.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
55
Blaydes
Kuniev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
2
Body
1
13
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance8
6Clinch5
0Ground0
Blaydes
Kuniev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Kuniev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Blaydes
Kuniev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
55
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Blaydes
Kuniev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Kuniev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BlaydesKuniev
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedKuniev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (46% of attacks) — Kuniev absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Kuniev targets the head (92% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Kuniev
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kuniev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.3WinLossTrend
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Kuniev · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

