METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
41%
Silva
59%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ariane da SilvawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JJ Aldrich · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 41% vs Aldrich at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaAldrich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.5
47.4
37.5
Performance Avg
42.5
34
Quality of Victory
28
30
Momentum Score
80
Silva
Aldrich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
6.2
Style: Volume
8.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
12
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance17
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Silva
Aldrich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Silva
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
SilvaAldrich
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (48% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Aldrich · Last 5
Upcoming
Regina TarinNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

