METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
42%
Silva
58%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ariane da SilvawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JJ Aldrich · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 42% vs Aldrich at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaAldrich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.5
47.4
39.0
Performance Avg
42.5
36
Quality of Victory
28
30
Momentum Score
80
Silva
Aldrich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
12
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance17
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Silva
Aldrich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Silva
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Silva
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
SilvaAldrich
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (48% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 6.4Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Aldrich · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08