UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Lightweight
VS
75%
Oliveira
25%
Izquierdo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RO
Rafaello Oliveira
"Tractor"
17 – 8
5'8"71" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 7
YI
Yoislandy Izquierdo
"Cuba"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw5'11"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Oliveira throws more volume but Izquierdo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira
Izquierdo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.2
2.4
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
30%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
4
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Oliveira
Izquierdo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira
Izquierdo
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Oliveira
Strike Zones
Izquierdo
Oliveira
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Izquierdo
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (55% of attacks) — Izquierdo absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Izquierdo targets the head (60% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira
RND
Izquierdo
0/0R00/0

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L2.8L4.5W3.2L1.5L2009-092010-032011-102013-072014-02
WinLossTrend

Izquierdo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L2012-042012-07
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

Izquierdo · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Rafaello OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Sub · R2
Reza MadadiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04

News & Media

Rafaello Oliveira · Yoislandy Izquierdo
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