METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Flyweight
VS
89%
Hernandez
11%
Bondar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Carlos HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 4:59
def. Denys Bondar · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hernandez is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hernandez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bondar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezBondar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Bondar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Bondar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.3
3.8
32.1
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Hernandez
Bondar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.9
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
11
2
Body
6
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
27Distance21
6Clinch0
7Ground0
Hernandez
Bondar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Bondar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Hernandez
Bondar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Hernandez
Bondar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Bondar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HernandezBondar
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBondar
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Bondar absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Bondar targets the head (52% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Bondar
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
HyunSung ParkSubmission
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Tatsuro TairaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Denys BondarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Bondar · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Ronaldo RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Carlos HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonKO/TKO
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