UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Flyweight
VS
98%
Horiguchi
2%
Montague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Horiguchi
Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 63 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Horiguchi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Horiguchi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Montague has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Horiguchi
Montague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+67"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Horiguchi
Montague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
1.5
56.7
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Horiguchi
Montague
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
22%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch1
17Ground0
Horiguchi
Montague
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horiguchi
Montague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Horiguchi
Montague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Horiguchi
Montague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horiguchi
Montague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HoriguchiMontague
Strike Zones
Horiguchi
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMontague
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Montague targets the head (63% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horiguchi
RND
Montague
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Horiguchi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Montague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Horiguchi · Last 5
Upcoming
Manel KapeUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Montague · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Willie GatesRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10