METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Flyweight
VS
98%
Horiguchi
2%
Montague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kyoji HoriguchiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Darrell Montague · UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horiguchi
→
Actual result
Horiguchi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Horiguchi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Horiguchi's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Montague has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoriguchiMontague
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Horiguchi
Montague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+67"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Horiguchi
Montague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.6
1.5
53.7
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Horiguchi
Montague
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.0
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch1
17Ground0
Horiguchi
Montague
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horiguchi
Montague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Horiguchi
Montague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Horiguchi
Montague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horiguchi
Montague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HoriguchiMontague
Strike Zones
Horiguchi
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMontague
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Montague targets the head (63% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horiguchi
RND
Montague
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Horiguchi · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Montague · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Willie GatesKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
John DodsonKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10