UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
65%
Rua
35%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rua
Rua holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Anderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rua
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
18.8
49.7
Performance Avg
50.1
51
Quality of Victory
39
46
Momentum Score
98
Rua
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Rua
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Rua
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rua
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
30%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Anderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
RuaAnderson
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAnderson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
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L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5Decision
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Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
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