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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
65%
Rua
35%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
MR
Mauricio Rua
"Shogun"
27 – 14
6'1"76" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 35
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 19
β˜… Official Result
Mauricio RuawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Corey Anderson Β· UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
β†’
Actual result
Rua wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rua holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings β€” but Anderson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anderson has a chin rating of 10 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RuaAnderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Rua
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
18.8
49.7
Performance Avg
50.1
51
Quality of Victory
39
46
Momentum Score
98
Rua
Anderson
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Rua
Anderson
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Rua
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
46
98
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Rua
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
30%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rua
Anderson
Striking8.2 / 4.3Volume3.1 / 6.9Grappling0.7 / 1.7Wrestling0.5 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Rua
Strike Zones
Anderson
Rua
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Anderson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the legs (50% of attacks) β€” Anderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Rua absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Rua
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rua Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.0L5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.4W5.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.5W2.7L6.5W4.5W3.5L6.1L1.5L2007-092011-082014-032018-122023-01
WinLossTrend

Anderson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.1W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.6L4.5W4.9W4.5W5.8W2.1L2014-072015-112017-032018-122020-02
WinLossTrend

Rua Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Β· 2023-01
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Β· 2022-05
L Β· KO Β· R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez Β· 2020-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till Β· 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul Craig
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare Β· 2019-11

Anderson Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz Β· 2020-02
W Β· KO Β· R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz Β· 2019-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 Β· 2018-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith Β· 2018-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee Β· 2018-04

News & Media

Mauricio Rua Β· Corey Anderson
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