METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Rua
42%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
Mauricio Rua
"Shogun"
2714
6'1"76" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 26
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
145
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Corey Anderson · UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
Actual result
Rua wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rua at 58% vs Anderson at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RuaAnderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rua
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
18.8
49.7
Performance Avg
50.1
51
Quality of Victory
39
46
Momentum Score
98
Rua
Anderson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.1
3.1
Style: Volume
6.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Rua
Anderson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Rua
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rua
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
30%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rua
Anderson
Striking8.2 / 4.3Volume3.1 / 6.9Grappling0.7 / 1.7Wrestling0.5 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Rua
Strike Zones
Anderson
Rua
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Anderson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rua
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rua · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ihor Potieria
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint Preux
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul Craig
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio Nogueira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul Craig
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir Latifi
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover Teixeira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick Cummins
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

News & Media

Mauricio Rua · Corey Anderson
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