METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
48%
Hermansson
52%
Orolbai
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:46
★ Official Result
Myktybek OrolbaiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:46
def. Jack Hermansson · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Orolbai
→
Actual result
Orolbai wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 48% vs Orolbai at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HermanssonOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hermansson
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
59.0
48.1
Performance Avg
54.2
42
Quality of Victory
43
97
Momentum Score
69
Hermansson
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.8
Style: Volume
4.6
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
5
Body
3
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance13
2Clinch1
0Ground1
Hermansson
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Hermansson
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hermansson
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Orolbai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
HermanssonOrolbai
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedOrolbai
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (47% of attacks) — Orolbai absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Orolbai targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
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W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferDecision
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Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
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Orolbai · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
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