METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
64%
Silva
36%
Baghdasaryan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Jean SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:15
def. Melsik Baghdasaryan · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Baghdasaryan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Baghdasaryan has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaBaghdasaryan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
29+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
37.7
61.7
Performance Avg
41.0
46
Quality of Victory
35
87
Momentum Score
25
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.0
Style: Volume
6.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
7
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Baghdasaryan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SilvaBaghdasaryan
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBaghdasaryan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (61% of attacks) — Baghdasaryan absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Baghdasaryan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Baghdasaryan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · Last 5
Upcoming
Jose DelgadoNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
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L · KO · R2
Diego LopesKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
Baghdasaryan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Murtazali MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Jean SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Josh CulibaoSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SouzaDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11