UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Featherweight
VS
57%
Pepey
43%
Lahat
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pepey
This is a genuine toss-up — Pepey at 57% vs Lahat at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pepey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Pepey throws more volume but Lahat connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pepey's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lahat has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pepey
Lahat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
73"+
Reach
69"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pepey
Lahat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
12.7
47.8
Performance Avg
35.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
50
Pepey
Lahat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance7
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Pepey
Lahat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pepey
Lahat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Pepey
Lahat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pepey
Lahat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pepey
Lahat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PepeyLahat
Strike Zones
Pepey
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLahat
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pepey targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lahat absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lahat targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pepey absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pepey
RND
Lahat
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pepey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Lahat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Pepey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Andre FiliRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
Lahat · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Diego RivasRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Niklas BackstromRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Steven SilerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03