UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
74%
Elliott
26%
Rosa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elliott
Elliott is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elliott
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
13.0
37.9
Performance Avg
33.8
33
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
33
Elliott
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Elliott
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Elliott
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Elliott
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ElliottRosa
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRosa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5Decision
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