METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
74%
Elliott
26%
Rosa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:41
★ Official Result
Tim ElliottwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:41
def. Mark De La Rosa · UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Elliott wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Elliott is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.9
13.0
38.0
Performance Avg
33.8
33
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
33
Elliott
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.4
6.5
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Elliott
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Elliott
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Elliott
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ElliottRosa
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRosa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Elliott · Last 5
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