UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Flyweight
VS
49%
Pettis
51%
Formiga
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SP
Sergio Pettis
18 – 5
5'6"69" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JF
Jussier Formiga
23 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Formiga

This is a genuine toss-up — Pettis at 49% vs Formiga at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pettis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Formiga has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pettis
Formiga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
67"
32+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Formiga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
14.9
40.7
Performance Avg
42.7
25
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
64
Pettis
Formiga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pettis
Formiga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Formiga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
6
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/31 fights
Pettis
Formiga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
64
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pettis
Formiga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Formiga
Striking1.3 / 1.1Volume9.3 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.9 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Pettis
Strike Zones
Formiga
Pettis
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Formiga
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Formiga targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Formiga
0/0R00/0

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.2L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.4W7.0L4.5W5.5L6.7L4.7W2013-112015-032017-082018-122019-09
WinLossTrend

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Sergio Pettis · Jussier Formiga
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