UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Middleweight
VS
47%
Marquardt
53%
Horn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:37
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JH
Jeremy Horn
"Gumby"
91 – 22
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horn

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 47% vs Horn at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Horn has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Horn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquardt
Horn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
18.9
48.6
Performance Avg
48.1
46
Quality of Victory
49
59
Momentum Score
78
Marquardt
Horn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Marquardt
Horn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Horn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
13/113 fights
Marquardt
Horn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Marquardt
Horn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Horn
Striking5.7 / 2.6Volume3.5 / 2.3Grappling2.6 / 5.7Wrestling1.8 / 4.0Submission2.3 / 6.7Pressure6.4 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Horn
Marquardt
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Horn
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Horn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Horn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Horn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0102.8L1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L3.4L4.5W5.2W2.8L1.5L5.5L1998-051999-092005-112009-01
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Horn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Jeremy Horn
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