UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Oleinik
61%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Daukaus
Daukaus holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Oleinik has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Daukaus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Daukaus has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oleinik
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
80"+
Reach
76"
48
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
41.9
52.0
Performance Avg
55.2
51
Quality of Victory
59
39
Momentum Score
59
Oleinik
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
3.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
32
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance28
0Clinch2
0Ground4
Oleinik
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Oleinik
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Oleinik
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Daukaus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
OleinikDaukaus
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedDaukaus
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (60% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (94% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Daukaus · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Shamil AbdurakhimovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09