Donald Cerrone vs Yancy Medeiros — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros

Austin, USA

18 Feb 2018

Welterweight

64%

Cerrone

36%

Medeiros

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:58

Donald Cerrone

"Cowboy"

36 – 17

6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 28

Yancy Medeiros

15 – 8

Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Donald CerronewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:58

def. Yancy Medeiros · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Cerrone

→

Actual result

Cerrone wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Medeiros has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CerroneMedeiros

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cerrone

Medeiros

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'10"

73"

Reach

+75"

Age

+39

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Cerrone

Medeiros

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

28.2

15.6

53.0

Performance Avg

45.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cerrone

Medeiros

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.6

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

6.7

Style: Pressure

7.1

3.7

Style: Volume

2.2

10 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

24Distance22

1Clinch3

3Ground0

Cerrone

Medeiros

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

4.4

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.1

2.6

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cerrone

Medeiros

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.1 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

38/53 fights

Chin rating based on

15/23 fights

Cerrone

Medeiros

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

6-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

Cerrone

Medeiros

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

70%

83%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone

Medeiros

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.2

2.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.4

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.1

2.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.2

Cerrone

Strike Zones

Medeiros

Cerrone

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

25 absorbed

Medeiros

Attacking

25 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cerrone targets the head (57% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Medeiros targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone

RND

Medeiros

0/0R00/0

0/0R30/0

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Jim Miller

Submission

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

L · KO · R1

Alex Morono

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

Upcoming

Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Pettis

Decision

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Medeiros · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Damir Hadzovic

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

L · Dec · R3

Lando Vannata

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

L · KO · R2

Gregor Gillespie

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

L · KO · R1

Donald Cerrone

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

W · KO · R3

Alex Oliveira

KO/TKO

UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Yancy Medeiros

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