UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
54%
Cerrone
46%
Medeiros
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:58
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
YM
Yancy Medeiros
15 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerrone

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerrone at 54% vs Medeiros at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
24.4
53.0
Performance Avg
45.4
47
Quality of Victory
47
63
Momentum Score
39
Cerrone
Medeiros
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
17
11
Body
8
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance22
1Clinch3
3Ground0
Cerrone
Medeiros
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Cerrone
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
39
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Cerrone
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
83%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Medeiros
Striking5.6 / 4.2Volume3.7 / 2.2Grappling2.8 / 4.4Wrestling2.0 / 3.1Submission2.6 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Medeiros
Cerrone
Attacking
16HEAD11BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD8BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Medeiros
Attacking
17HEAD8BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD11BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (57% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Medeiros · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.0L1.9L5.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5W1.5L2.8L6.0L5.5L2013-042015-062017-062020-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Medeiros · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Yancy Medeiros
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