UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Middleweight
VS
24%
McDaniel
76%
Strickland
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
Strickland is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Strickland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McDaniel
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McDaniel
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
57.7
40.3
Performance Avg
50.9
45
Quality of Victory
37
52
Momentum Score
100
McDaniel
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
2.1
33%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
17
2
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground11
McDaniel
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McDaniel
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/38 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
McDaniel
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
McDaniel
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McDaniel
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
McDanielStrickland
Strike Zones
McDaniel
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McDaniel targets the body (50% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (85% of attacks) — McDaniel absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McDaniel
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
McDaniel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
McDaniel · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Sean StricklandRating 2.6Submission
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R3
Gilbert SmithRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
