UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Lightweight
VS
72%
Pimblett
28%
Vendramini
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:25
LV
CFR 27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pimblett
Pimblett is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vendramini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Vendramini throws more volume but Pimblett connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vendramini has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pimblett
Vendramini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"
Reach
73"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pimblett
Vendramini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.2
27.4
63.1
Performance Avg
46.0
47
Quality of Victory
60
85
Momentum Score
36
Pimblett
Vendramini
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
14
7
Body
4
11
Leg
7
RangeRange
46Distance21
1Clinch3
0Ground1
Pimblett
Vendramini
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pimblett
Vendramini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pimblett
Vendramini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Pimblett
Vendramini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pimblett
Vendramini
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
PimblettVendramini
Strike Zones
Pimblett
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedVendramini
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pimblett targets the head (62% of attacks) — Vendramini absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Vendramini targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pimblett
RND
Vendramini
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pimblett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Vendramini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pimblett · Last 5
Upcoming
Benoit Saint DenisUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 5.7Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 5Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Vendramini · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Jessin AyariRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09