METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Lightweight
VS
55%
Torres
45%
Dober
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:45
★ Official Result
Manuel TorreswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:45
def. Drew Dober · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Torres
→
Actual result
Torres wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Torres at 55% vs Dober at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Torres's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TorresDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Torres
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Torres
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.5
59.9
63.9
Performance Avg
53.2
59
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
100
Torres
Dober
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.4
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
9.1
Style: Pressure
7.3
1.4
Style: Volume
2.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Torres
Dober
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Torres
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Torres
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Torres
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Torres
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
TorresDober
Strike Zones
Torres
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDober
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Torres targets the head (91% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (67% of attacks) — Torres absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Torres
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Torres · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Grant DawsonKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesKO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02