METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Jones
31%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
28 – 1
6'4"84" reachOrthodox39 yrs19-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 71
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Jon JoneswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Thiago Santos · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

Jones holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JonesSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jones
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
76"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
32.2
74.6
Performance Avg
54.0
61
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
91
Jones
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
3
Body
2
10
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jones
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jones
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Jones
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Jones
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
79%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
6
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones
Santos
Striking4.6 / 9.0Volume5.5 / 2.9Grappling3.3 / 0.5Wrestling2.3 / 0.4Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Jones
Strike Zones
Santos
Jones
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY10LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY10LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Jon Jones · Thiago Santos
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